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coach bracciali Xie Yifeng analysts said there are five main reasons

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发表于 2016-11-10 06:42:58 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
Chinese people to buy a house or buy shares in the shot? | Buy | Property
        
Currently, the New Deal to force the stock market bullish. Language crossroads,hermes bracciali, Chinese people how to choose?
 
Property & lsquo; warm political blowing frequency. March 30,chaussure nike, China five ministries jointly issued the New Deal, the two suites down payment and second-hand housing taxes make adjustments.
 
Among them, the central bank, the Ministry of Housing, the CBRC three ministries announced two suites down payment drop% to 40% the proportion of down payment fund by the first suite and two suites were adjusted headed Fuer Cheng and three percent.
 
Meanwhile, the Chinese Ministry of Finance, State Administration of Taxation have jointly introduced the New Deal, announced second-hand housing transaction at least two years are exempt from sales tax. Five ministries series of combination punches a policy, triggering a strong concern in the industry and ordinary homebuyers.
 
Just a few days ago, the Chinese Ministry of Land and housing construction have jointly issued a document requiring optimization of housing and land supply structure, and promote stable and healthy development of the real estate market. A series of combination punches to the property market policies warmth, industry analysts believe that the current round of policy will effectively promote the release of their own homes and improve the type of housing demand,moncler prezzi donna, to alleviate property stocks have positive significance.
 
A number of policies that the government will continue to focus the rigid demand, support needs to improve. As the market changes,soldes christian, the developer is also planning to re-adjust the rhythm of supply in April to be the best time to buy a house, the property market will usher in a new round of rising into the Silver Age of real estate again.
 
It is understood that the Chinese NPC and CPPCC, the central released this year to support the residents own homes and improve demand, stable signal housing consumption. Analysts said the current round of policy portfolio a response to this policy is the call.
 
Bank Financial Research Center shardan said: two suites down payment is not cut before the rumors troughs twelve months, but directly down Zhi Sicheng; second-hand housing transaction sales tax by a & lsquo; over five years ago, the only skip the 2009 implementation of & lsquo ; at least three unique, adjusted to & lsquo; over two single. Visible relevant departments to improve the central support to respond quickly to the requirements of the buyers, the attitude of the firm.
 
Blissful chain of home market research director Lu riding Lin said in the past, many home buyers to enjoy the substitutional & lsquo; liquidation loans knot the first set of policies, often only to sell and buy; New Deal for the first set of loans outstanding secondary home buyers down payment requirements straight down a minimum proportion of 30%, which could afford to buy a first choice, the market rate will significantly accelerate in the short term volume will increase.
 
The sales tax exemption five change is directly related to two more real money. In Shanghai, for example,nike occhiali da sole, according to the total price of the current standard Shanghai ordinary residential, business tax rate by 5.65% calculation,hogan sito ufficiale, inner ring, between the inner and outer ring, the outer ring outside a set of ordinary residential transactions to reduce taxes at 130,000 yuan -25 ten thousand yuan between. Analysis of the industry, the policy adjustment will also release a number of stock listings.
 
Centaline Dawei, chief analyst believes, in particular, to reduce the ratio to 40% down payment, provident fund policy adjusted to the minimum down payment ratio of 20%, the second suite of 30%, although there are some constraints, but the intensity of deregulation, the market will a tremendous impact.
 
He believes that the New Deal can directly increase the effective purchase demand, the overall market volume will rise rapidly in April. He also expects a second-tier city market in the second quarter,outlet hogan, there will be more substantial volume quarter rose ring, which probably will be the peak in 2014 to deal.
 
Asia-Pacific Urban Real Estate Research Institute Xie Yifeng said the central bank's two sets down and drop Zhi Sicheng total tax sales tax for 5 years to 2 years, the center opened a comprehensive rescue prologue, which also indicates that the fourth round of market adjustment period will end , officially entered the house prices rose period, so homebuyers refrain again missed the opportunity to buy the best fourth round of adjustment.
 
Over the past decade, although the overall property market in the state rose sharply, but Xie Yifeng pointed out that for buyers, there are still some of the best time to market window, you can lower cost, more calmly pick.
 
For example, in September 2008 after the financial crisis of 2009 to the first quarter is a good time window. Thereafter, the end of 2011 to the first half of 2012, the property market ushered in one of the best purchase window. From now until the end of the second quarter, the market will be a good window period. With the real estate investment, land supply reduction, to the 2015 third and fourth quarter, the supply and demand back into balance, prices will begin to rise.
 
The reason why there are now the best purchase window period, Xie Yifeng analysts said there are five main reasons:
 
One is that house prices bottomed signs of a rebound are becoming apparent. Second, the policy stimulus,porsche design occhiali da sole, the housing market turnover will bring upward trend, thus contributing to housing prices adjust pricing strategy and to take price increases practices. Third, the market once the end of the adjustment period, the property market recovery is just around the corner, prices will rise into the channel. Fourth, the central government has a comprehensive bailout series of preferential policies to encourage buy portfolio. Fifth, the market now to buy a house is low, down payment and interest rates and relatively low prices.
 
While Xie Yifeng frankly: with the current economic policy and market environment for home buyers the most favorable time to buy a house hunters have emerged,hogan prezzi, missed the opportunity to buy the last two decades will be for naught.
 
However, the market also has a different interpretation.
 
Minsheng Securities tube Kiyotomo believe that the New Deal mortgage can make the real estate market to ease short-term pressure, but can not reverse the long-term trend. The current round of real estate adjustment is the result of short-term factors (tight credit) and long-term factors (high inventory policy back to neutral + + aging population) resonance.
 
Real estate investment property will give way to more consumption property, from a purely investment point of view, do not pick up a falling knife.
 
Friends of pipe clear analysis of the four major reasons: First, people just need to have entered a downward spiral, even if fertility policy to accelerate the adjustment can not reverse the aging population trend. Second, real estate, money effect has disappeared, the market expects short-term can not be reversed. Third, under the background of the interest rate market, the mortgage bank configuration willingness to systematically fall. Fourth, the central authorities have abandoned the idea of real estate as a pillar industry established in 2003, the new idea is to protect the government responsible for the low end, the other to the market.
 
Tsinghua University, China and World Economy Research Center, Yuan steel Ming also worried that China will take a New Deal mortgage great efforts to promote the clean-up of excess capacity to bring resistance. Under the New Deal mortgage stimulation, there may be some developers began to vigorously develop.
 
Over the past few years, the rapid development of real estate, led the upstream and downstream industry chain has massive growth, so as to cause a number of industry overcapacity. Starting in 2011, China has been working to clean up excess capacity, in order to promote economic recovery. Now, if re-expansion of real estate development, which has excess capacity in the industry to adjust iron and steel, cement and the like resurgence.
 
Real estate appraiser and president of the Association of Realtors Ye Weijian think, just need to home buyers and improve the type of demand if they can start their own house, but solely for the buy and buy real estate speculators will have to think twice, and fell fast hikes are not the normal rhythm of the property market.
 
Recently, in the face of continued high innovation index of the stock market, the stock market bear for many years we began to prosper, more recently performed strongly, continuing strong rise.
 
Most of this year, China's stock market in leaps and bounds: the first quarter, the Shanghai index has risen 16%. In the past nine months, it has risen nearly 90%.
 
As of March 31, the Shanghai index's price-earnings ratio (TTM) 16.5 times, small board and GEM valuation of 45.8 times and 83.5 times the valuation of small cap stocks significantly higher than the motherboard market, the Shanghai and Shenzhen GEM 300 the premium rate rose to 6.27 times, 4.75 times the historical average of only limited further upside GEM 83 times the valuation has been reaching record highs, the future is difficult then rose sharply.
 
The valuation of the Shanghai Composite Index in the low level, compared to less than the transverse overseas markets in Europe and America 18 times PE, compared to longitudinally below the historical 10-year average of 20 times PE. PB is 2.1 times lower than over the same 10-year average of 2.6 times.
 
Debon Securities chief strategist Zhang Haidong think the future of A-share valuation of repair is still space, a conservative estimate is expected to rise to 17 times, with the listed company's overall profit growth of 10%, corresponding to the A shares this year's high point in 4500 the above.
 
April 1 China Securities Investor Protection Network released the latest data show that on March 23 - March 27 week, the net inflow of 39.4 billion securities margin, March securities margin Total net inflow of 472.1 billion yuan. The concern is that securities margin in February, compared with a net outflow of 33.4 billion yuan.
 
The board's latest disclosure data show, March 23, 2015 --3 27th the week, A shares in the number of new accounts was 1,668,000, compared with 1,138,500 the previous week's increase of 46.51% MoM, the highest in 2005 a new record high since the previous high of 1.658 million; the same time, the number of a-share accounts involved in the transaction last week, the chain increased to 33,384,100, following last week setting a record since records began in 2008,moncler bambino on line, a new high.
 
Galaxy Securities Investment Advisory Deng Zhiwei in an interview with Southern reporters said the recent business department to open an account, consulting many people,chaussures nike pas cher, especially. His analysis,scarpe hogan outlet, the reason why the number of accounts continued to increase, on the one hand and take a good market inextricably linked, in addition, the regulatory level and continue to release a series of positive signals, but also to the stock market hit a shot in the arm.
 
Southern Fund chief strategist Yang Delong said the recent market continuous upside, the formation of a new wave of rising trend in money effect also attracted a lot of money admission, securities margin trading business continued to grow, providing incremental funding for the A shares continued.
 
With the arrival of reform policies, the stock market was expected 6 years to 1 million points. Hai Securities senior strategist open source bluntly, the stock market is becoming the brightest investment funds have no choice but to gather.
 
In the monetary policy continued to relax in the background, the stock market continued to highlight the investment value, outside the capital inflows can maintain state, long-term A shares are still up space and power.
 
Manufacturing Excellence JP Morgan fund aspiring fund managers Wu Wenzhe believe that the bull market is far from the end of 2015, relating to investment opportunities in emerging, or short-term adjustments to bring buying opportunity.
 
Overall, the market continued optimism for the second quarter, predict a more balanced opportunities: integration with the Internet industry is still in progress; Hakuba growth stocks are more optimistic about the innovation and transformation of individual stocks, especially in conjunction with the Internet; traditional industry transformation stock performance is also worth the wait.
 
Effect of the New Deal real estate on the capital market in that style conversion. In addition to directly benefit real estate stocks, the New Deal real estate can be alleviated concerns about the quality of bank assets, plus debt exchange expected to change the bad debts of banks, bank stocks ushered in the opportunity. Trading volume go up, brokerage stocks will return to. Xu Biao believe, does not rule out short-term adjustment, the medium-term A-share market rise,moncler outlet online, it proposes a focus on blue-chip style.
 
Gold takes a similar view that the New Deal is expected to improve the market for real estate and related cyclical sectors will accelerate the market to underestimate the value of blue-chip style conversion.
 
Huatai Securities analyst Cao Guangliang, chief real estate represents real estate stocks will rise, but stock selection logic has changed, last year need to find personalized catalyst, and now need to find fundamental support.
 
Currently, the stock market in a high state of excitement, and a sign of trouble,magasin louboutin paris pas cher, it will set off a raging tide. In fact, whether or fast Manniu cattle, how not to be mad cow Shuaixia back, it is the key.
 
BOCI Securities believes that the recent stock market rose sharply largely in the care and affirmation of the policy side, but subsequent changes in the policy side, but there is a big uncertainty.
 
Therefore,cinture milano, if the policy is expected to cash or less than expected, the market fundamentals and liquidity for the negative pressure will appear.
 
BOCI Securities estimates after the second quarter before the market or in trochaic pattern, the Shanghai Composite running interval 3,300-4,hamilton michael kors,100. Market adjustment trigger points concentrated in marginal tightening of liquidity, or lower than expected cash centralization policy, management intervention in the market upward rhythm.
 
Property prices continued to rise over the past resulting in investment property in the future will give way to more consumption attributes. From a purely investment point of view, real estate making the rich era may be over, the future will be made rich era of equity, perhaps better than the current investment real estate or stock to buy a house.
 
Real estate and stock prices in the future performance of the past few years may be followed by real estate stocks have been the opposite of continuous adjustment, but prices remain high; the situation is likely to arise in the future is the real estate stocks rose, while the property market performance is relatively common.
 
But for the enigmatic stock market also need to be careful, because the bull also allows you to open eyes are losing money, invest in stocks more professional knowledge and skills than investment property, that needs to keep in mind. Do not all of a sudden brain fever, saying it was selling stock to flicker.
 
Professional real estate research firm, Marketing Director of Asia-Hao Guo Yi said that for now, the two cities still have some investment value, choose what kind of products to investors eye test. A relatively short period of stock market and high-risk, relatively stable property market, in addition can also use leverage (bank loans) to invest, this is the stock market can not do.
 
Guo Yi that the stock market is more suitable for short-term speculation profit, the property is a good choice for long-term investment.
 
But some analysts believe that: the property market has come to a fork, no longer attractive. While cyclical adjustment of the stock market is inevitable, but & lsquo; situation will play just begun.
 
Qilu Securities Investment Advisory Company Quanzhou Ruo Xiao also pointed out that now the real estate appreciation think is very difficult, because the appreciation of slow, there will be a lot of expenses, has been far less than the appreciation of the current A-share.
 
Well-known financial commentator Ye Tan also remind you that any time the stock market risk, and still exists. First,new balance pas cher, the fundamentals of our economy on the one hand not very good; the other hand, the valuation of some markets has been high.
 
Now the new account of the investors in the 67 percent of people who do not finish high school, if economic, market, companies do not know anything about these people is likely to be called cannon fodder.
 
Fully visible,hogan rebel ebay, buy a house, to buy shares of their advantages and disadvantages. Finally, myself or do you decide!
    
    
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发表于 2016-11-13 08:43:19 | 显示全部楼层
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